Are We In For A Big Winter? Winter Weather Predictors – True Or False They’re Still Fun!

Since starting Local Freshies®, we’ve heard many local superstitions of good and bad winter omens. Scientists of course will tell you that it’s a ‘load of poppy cock’, but as you can tell, they’re as good or worse than these time-honored superstitions. For those curious, here’s a few of the ski town natural winter predictors we’ve heard while hanging out at the local watering holes.

Wooly Bear Caterpillar

North America

Wooly Bear Caterpillar

Image by: Iwona Kellie

For those growing up in New England, you may have heard about this one. While talking to a few local Grand Targhee residents, the gist of the folklore goes like this: the amount of wooly bear caterpillars you see in autumn will tell you how severe the winter will be. The centuries old tradition goes even one step further. Depending on the coat of the caterpillar, how big their stripes are and all sorts of other characteristics, these little wooly wonders will tell you if it’s going to be a cold/snowy winter.

Winter Coats On Livestock

North America

Scottish Highland Cow Winter Prediction

Image by: Deborah S-C

I’ve heard this one from my father in-law and will have to admit it seems to be a good indicator on how cold the winter will be. The earlier the process starts and the thicker that it grows, the colder livestock expect it to be. It takes cattle and horses a long time to grow their coats, so it seems that these animals might know a bit more than the average ‘bear’.

October Snow In Siberia

Eastern United States

Supposedly, when the snow cover in October is above normal in Siberia, it translates to a cold, snowy winter for the Eastern United States. The thought is that when the snow is deep in northern Russia, it translates to a negative Arctic Oscillation. And, the flip side is also said to be true… when the snow is below normal, it predicts a positive winter Arctic Oscillation.

Snow In September

Lake Tahoe

Lake Tahoe Early Season Snowfall

Early season snowfall… good or bad omen?

This is an interesting one. We’ve heard from quite a few of our friends that early snowfall, especially in September, translates to a bad overall winter in Lake Tahoe. Last September, we got a decent dusting of snow. While the season may have had an epic Miracle March, the rest of the year it was downright depressing. So, depending on which way you look at it, this could’ve proved it right… or maybe not?

Muskrats Digging Deeper Dens

Interior British Columbia

Muskrat

Image by: Julie Falk

As temperatures dip in the fall and before the ponds or parts of waterways freeze, the muskrats begin preparing for the upcoming cold months. The local lore on the Powder Highway states that in the snowiest/coldest years, they dig their dens MUCH deeper than normal.

Black Rosy-Finches

Aspen

Image by: Jacob Roalef

While this isn’t a season predictor, the ski patrol installed bird feeders at their hut on the top of Sam’s Knob at Snowmass. When Black Rosy-Finches are seen stuffing their faces with seed, this a good indicator that a big storm is approaching.

What Is Mother Nature Predicting For 2018-19?

Will this season be feast… or famine?

While it’s a bit early for many of these, we’ll keep our eyes & ears open to see what happens. For those living in other parts of the country, be sure to let us know what mother nature is saying to you for the upcoming 2018-19 ski & snowboard season. We’re just hoping for a more consistent year in Lake Tahoe than last winter. After 8 years of being in & around the Sierra Nevada, the one thing I know for sure is you can’t predict what it has in store. All you can do is be patient and ‘get after it’ when it does snow because it could be months until the next storm cycle. Here’s to everyone having an amazing season!

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